Analytics
Yes is at 24.5%, down 26 points from 50% when the market opened on 11 Oct 2026.
Across the 12 daily closes on record from 11 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 11 Oct 2026 and the lowest 24.5% on 23 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 50%. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 28.5% on 20 Oct 2026.
It is one of 19 markets under “UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)”.
The order book holds $3.86K, with a 25.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
Trading closes on 25 Oct 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 6:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 11 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 24.5% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Grant Dawson and Nurullo Aliev at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-gra-nur-2026-10-24
6 more markets, none above 26.5%.
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