Analytics
The Grant Dawson side is at 51.5%, up 1.5 points from 50% when the market opened on 11 Oct 2026.
Across the 10 daily closes on record from 11 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 52.5% on 19 Oct 2026 and the lowest 40.5% on 12 Oct 2026. A week before that last close the Grant Dawson side was at 51.5%. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points down, to 40.5% on 12 Oct 2026.
It is one of 19 markets under “UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)”.
$2.55K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $17.78K since listing. The order book holds $106.2K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 113 trades, $3.55K bought Grant Dawson and $3.55K bought Nurullo Aliev; the largest was a $1.16K buy of Grant Dawson at 53.0¢.
The largest Grant Dawson position is WYNNERBACC with 4.7K shares; the largest Nurullo Aliev position is Vivid-Roadway-Escalator with 5.1K. Ten wallets hold 74.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 25 Oct 2026, 3 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 2:38 AM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the Grant Dawson price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 11 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 35%–55%
| Observed | Grant Dawson price |
|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 51.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Vivid-Roadway-Escalator | Nurullo Aliev | 5.07K |
| WYNNERBACC | Grant Dawson | 4.66K |
| clownfishbets | Grant Dawson | 2.19K |
This market will resolve to "Grant Dawson" if Grant Dawson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Nurullo Aliev at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Nurullo Aliev" if Nurullo Aliev is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-gra-nur-2026-10-24
7 more markets, none above 26.5%.
| morpheus23 | Nurullo Aliev | 2.06K |
| RollAwayTheDew | Grant Dawson | 1.54K |
| suntori | Nurullo Aliev | 1.54K |
| darkumbreon88 | Nurullo Aliev | 1.1K |
| 411tefal | Grant Dawson | 1K |
| omnibus-076daa | Grant Dawson | 924.84 |
| Alvves | Grant Dawson | 784.31 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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