Analytics
The Over side is at 76%, up 26 points from 50% when the market opened on 11 Oct 2026.
Across the 10 daily closes on record from 11 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 76% on 23 Oct 2026 and the lowest 50% on 11 Oct 2026. A week before that last close the Over side was at 50%. Its largest one-day move was 11 points up, to 73.5% on 20 Oct 2026.
It is one of 19 markets under “UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)”.
The order book holds $2.42K, with a 38.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
Trading closes on 25 Oct 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 5:10 AM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the Over price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 11 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 40%–90%
| Observed | Over price |
|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 76.0% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Grant Dawson and Nurullo Aliev at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1. "Under 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond November 7, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-gra-nur-2026-10-24
7 more markets, none above 26.5%.
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