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Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?

geopoliticsActive

Closes Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Yes

9.5%

No

90.5%

Yes costs 9.5¢No costs 90.5¢

24h Volume

$5.4K

Total volume

$992.3K

Liquidity

$154.5K

Closes

Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Topic roomIran–Israel

TradesThe most recent trades, newest first.

Full tapeCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Trader	Side	Outcome	Price	Shares	Time
cashmaschine	buy	No	91.0%	10.99	Oct 30, 7:05 AM UTC
The-one-26876	buy	Yes	10.0%	50	Oct 30, 5:23 AM UTC
Authentic-Flexibility	buy	Yes	10.0%	10	Oct 30, 3:35 AM UTC
Authentic-Flexibility	buy	Yes	10.0%	10	Oct 30, 3:35 AM UTC
Infamous-Daughter	buy	No	91.0%	100	Oct 30, 1:28 AM UTC
Lunarcorona	buy	Yes	10.0%	100	Oct 30, 12:50 AM UTC
beazennu	sell	Yes	9.0%	100	Oct 29, 11:35 PM UTC
qaz1234	sell	Yes	9.0%	300	Oct 29, 11:26 PM UTC
beazennu	buy	Yes	10.0%	100	Oct 29, 10:59 PM UTC
hfv	sell	No	90.0%	627.82	Oct 29, 5:53 PM UTC
Solid-Airfare	sell	No	90.6%	3.4K	Oct 29, 5:53 PM UTC
Tenebrus7	sell	No	91.0%	566.23	Oct 29, 5:48 PM UTC
betstaker	sell	No	91.0%	1.32	Oct 29, 12:20 PM UTC
smarterstrat	sell	Yes	8.0%	100	Oct 29, 12:05 PM UTC
MrNoItAll	buy	No	91.0%	6.19K	Oct 29, 12:04 PM UTC
Majas	buy	No	92.0%	293.15	Oct 29, 12:04 PM UTC
AlexiosV	buy	No	91.0%	500	Oct 29, 11:39 AM UTC
Juvenile-Jicama	sell	No	90.0%	27.35	Oct 29, 10:59 AM UTC
itsKey	sell	No	90.0%	0.76	Oct 29, 10:41 AM UTC
betstaker	sell	No	90.0%	0.77	Oct 29, 10:38 AM UTC
Red-Girlfriend	sell	No	90.0%	1.35	Oct 29, 10:38 AM UTC
zstaxpl4fpb2	sell	No	90.0%	0.55	Oct 29, 10:38 AM UTC
Ivory Horizon 895D	sell	No	90.0%	7	Oct 29, 10:38 AM UTC
Popular-Depth	sell	No	90.0%	2.55	Oct 29, 10:38 AM UTC
VortexTrading	buy	No	91.0%	200	Oct 29, 10:38 AM UTC
betstaker	sell	No	90.0%	0.45	Oct 29, 10:37 AM UTC
Red-Girlfriend	sell	No	90.0%	1.69	Oct 29, 10:37 AM UTC
Popular-Depth	sell	No	90.0%	1.5	Oct 29, 10:37 AM UTC
zstaxpl4fpb2	sell	No	90.0%	0.32	Oct 29, 10:37 AM UTC
VortexBet	buy	No	91.0%	100	Oct 29, 10:37 AM UTC
betstaker	sell	No	90.0%	0.45	Oct 29, 10:37 AM UTC
zstaxpl4fpb2	sell	No	90.0%	0.32	Oct 29, 10:37 AM UTC
Popular-Depth	sell	No	90.0%	1.5	Oct 29, 10:37 AM UTC
VortexTrading	buy	No	91.0%	100	Oct 29, 10:37 AM UTC
betstaker	sell	No	90.0%	0.04	Oct 29, 7:55 AM UTC
Popular-Depth	sell	No	90.0%	0.16	Oct 29, 7:55 AM UTC
Big-Hearted-Shaker	buy	No	91.0%	10.99	Oct 29, 7:55 AM UTC
Juvenile-Jicama	sell	No	90.0%	22.38	Oct 29, 6:42 AM UTC
itsKey	sell	No	90.0%	0.63	Oct 29, 6:31 AM UTC
Red-Girlfriend	sell	No	90.0%	2.48	Oct 29, 6:28 AM UTC
betstaker	sell	No	90.0%	1.42	Oct 29, 6:27 AM UTC
Ivory Horizon 895D	sell	No	90.0%	6	Oct 29, 6:27 AM UTC
zstaxpl4fpb2	sell	No	90.0%	0.97	Oct 29, 6:27 AM UTC
Popular-Depth	sell	No	90.0%	4.67	Oct 29, 6:27 AM UTC
Chersi	sell	Yes	9.0%	311.11	Oct 29, 6:27 AM UTC
Juvenile-Jicama	sell	No	90.0%	14.39	Oct 28, 6:22 PM UTC
itsKey	sell	No	90.0%	0.4	Oct 28, 6:18 PM UTC
betstaker	sell	No	90.0%	0.9	Oct 28, 6:14 PM UTC
Red-Girlfriend	sell	No	90.0%	2.47	Oct 28, 6:14 PM UTC
zstaxpl4fpb2	sell	No	90.0%	0.88	Oct 28, 6:14 PM UTC
Ivory Horizon 895D	sell	No	90.0%	5	Oct 28, 6:14 PM UTC
Popular-Depth	sell	No	90.0%	3	Oct 28, 6:14 PM UTC
Hnessen	buy	No	91.0%	200	Oct 28, 6:14 PM UTC
AyatollahDollar	sell	No	90.0%	40	Oct 28, 10:39 AM UTC
Juvenile-Jicama	sell	No	90.0%	15.81	Oct 28, 8:09 AM UTC
itsKey	sell	No	90.0%	0.41	Oct 28, 8:00 AM UTC
betstaker	sell	No	90.0%	1	Oct 28, 7:58 AM UTC
Crimson Beacon CB19	sell	No	90.0%	1.07	Oct 28, 7:57 AM UTC
zstaxpl4fpb2	sell	No	90.0%	0.74	Oct 28, 7:57 AM UTC
Popular-Depth	sell	No	90.0%	3.29	Oct 28, 7:57 AM UTC

60 of the 500 most recent trades.Subscribers can pull the full trade history where Vultax has archived it.

Topic room

Read this market in context

Iran–Israel oddsWhat are the odds of war between Israel and Iran?

What to watch in Iran–Israel

Military action by either state or by allied groups
Statements from the US government on involvement
Inspections, talks and announcements on Iran's nuclear programme

Research behind the numbers

How well Polymarket prices match outcomes