Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 18K | $0.840 | $15.57K | +$450 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No | buy | 2K | $0.930 | $1.86K | 13d ago |
|
| No |
| 2K |
| $0.930 |
| $1.87K |
| +$10 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 1.95K | $0.515 | $1.71K | +$702.04 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 532.03 | $0.140 | $425.62 | +$351.14 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 9.01K | $0.174 | $297.17 | -$1.27K |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 499.98 | $0.428 | $72.5 | -$141.38 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 81.33 | $0.295 | $71.57 | +$47.53 |
| buy |
| 18K |
| $0.840 |
| $15.12K |
| 13d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.424 | $848.11 | 15d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.433 | $649.09 | 15d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6K | $0.115 | $688.05 | 21d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.68K | $0.020 | $54.45 | 21d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 4K | $0.850 | $3.4K | 23d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | sell | 2.2K | $0.617 | $1.36K | 26d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | sell | 10.8K | $0.026 | $281.73 | 26d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | sell | 13K | $0.100 | $1.3K | 26d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.986 | $986 | 28d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 6K | $0.570 | $3.42K | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 6K | $0.577 | $3.46K | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 7K | $0.320 | $2.24K | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 9K | $0.829 | $7.46K | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?No | buy | 14K | $0.692 | $9.68K | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?No | sell | 6.5K | $0.895 | $5.82K | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | buy | 6K | $0.210 | $1.26K | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | buy | 4K | $0.100 | $400 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?No | sell | 2.17K | $0.220 | $476.86 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 2.53K | $0.656 | $1.66K | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?No | buy | 1.8K | $0.719 | $1.29K | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?No | sell | 8K | $0.505 | $4.04K | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 21K | $0.070 | $1.47K | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No | buy | 1.28K | $0.945 | $1.21K | Jul 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | buy | 971.29 | $0.072 | $69.46 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | buy | 2.37K | $0.048 | $114.2 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | sell | 998.95 | $0.035 | $34.96 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | buy | 7.6K | $0.124 | $944.75 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | buy | 5.4K | $0.098 | $526.61 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | buy | 4.4K | $0.088 | $388.42 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 7K | $0.192 | $1.34K | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | buy | 3.86K | $0.096 | $368.65 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | buy | 3.01K | $0.090 | $269.98 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No | buy | 1.64K | $0.934 | $1.53K | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 39.76 | $0.240 | $9.54 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 3.38K | $0.837 | $2.83K | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 2.1K | $0.819 | $1.72K | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 5.5K | $0.390 | $2.14K | Jul 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | sell | 1.28K | $0.750 | $960.86 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | buy | 236.27 | $0.370 | $87.42 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 900 | $0.320 | $288 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 13K | $0.295 | $3.83K | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | buy | 9K | $0.090 | $810 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | sell | 2.8K | $0.483 | $1.35K | Jul 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 2K | $0.310 | $620 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | sell | 3.1K | $0.485 | $1.5K | Jul 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 11K | $0.570 | $6.27K | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 459 | $0.060 | $27.49 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.090 | $450 | Jul 27, 2026 |