Analytics
Government shutdown by December 31?
politicsActive
Closes Jan 1, 2027 UTC
Yes
42.0%
No
58.0%
Yes costs 42¢No costs 58¢
24h Volume
$360
Total volume
$26.1K
Liquidity
$10.4K
Closes
Jan 1, 2027 UTC
Topic roomGovernment shutdown
Where it stands
Yes is at 42%, down 1.5 points from 43.5% when the market opened on 30 Oct 2026.
Across the 15 daily closes on record from 30 Oct 2026 to 14 Nov 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 52% on 9 Nov 2026 and the lowest 31.5% on 6 Nov 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 31.5%. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 48% on 8 Nov 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “Government shutdown by...?”.
Across the latest 372 trades, $4.36K bought Yes and $4.81K bought No.
Ten wallets hold 75.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 48 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 14, 10:09 PM UTC
Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 30 Oct 2026 – 14 Nov 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2026 | 43.5% |
| 14 Nov 2026 | 42.0% |
Same event
Government shutdown by...?
- 1December 31This market$26.11K traded42.0%
- 2December 12$62.34K traded40.0%
Largest holders
Rules
What settles this market
Polymarket settles this market on a consensus of credible reporting. Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/government-shutdown-by
Dates
Topic room
Read this market in context
What to watch in Government shutdown
- The date in the last stopgap law, which sets the next deadline
- Whether 60 senators will vote to end debate on a funding bill
- Disputes attached to funding: spending levels, health subsidies, immigration enforcement