Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?Yes | sell | 2.72K | $0.313 | $849.96 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 684.37 |
| $0.335 |
| $229.07 |
| Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?Yes | buy | 2.21K | $0.722 | $1.59K | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Yes | sell | 851.28 | $0.471 | $401.03 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?Yes | buy | 149.58 | $0.669 | $100 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?Yes | buy | 121.95 | $0.820 | $100 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Yes | buy | 187.99 | $0.532 | $100 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No | sell | 215.83 | $0.060 | $12.99 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Yes | buy | 361.62 | $0.553 | $200 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?Yes | buy | 117.78 | $0.849 | $100 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?Yes | buy | 159.16 | $0.628 | $100 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 129.87 | $0.500 | $64.94 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Yes | buy | 301.68 | $0.331 | $100 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?Yes | buy | 270.27 | $0.370 | $100 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?Yes | buy | 232.56 | $0.430 | $100 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?Yes | buy | 276.11 | $0.362 | $100 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 129.87 | $0.770 | $100 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?No | sell | 102.26 | $0.978 | $100.01 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?No | sell | 11.11 | $0.978 | $10.87 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 251.7 | $0.730 | $183.74 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | sell | 1.55K | $0.287 | $445.27 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.35K | $0.009 | $20 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 586.65 | $0.511 | $300 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No | sell | 15.87 | $0.994 | $15.77 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | sell | 1.9K | $0.995 | $1.89K | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 302.86 | $0.516 | $156.23 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | sell | 211.11 | $0.740 | $156.22 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 197.41 | $0.440 | $86.86 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 833.33 | $0.018 | $15 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 346.87 | $0.288 | $100 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?No | sell | 121.95 | $0.830 | $101.22 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?No | sell | 108.69 | $0.926 | $100.65 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 157.93 | $0.710 | $112.13 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes | sell | 13.33 | $0.910 | $12.13 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by April 30?No | sell | 111.11 | $0.900 | $100 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 1.3K | $0.620 | $803.04 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?No | sell | 408.81 | $0.388 | $158.8 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?No | sell | 519.23 | $0.217 | $112.71 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 147.52 | $0.060 | $8.85 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?No | sell | 121.34 | $0.338 | $41 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?No | buy | 313.99 | $0.318 | $100 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?No | buy | 408.81 | $0.489 | $200 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?No | sell | 116.41 | $0.850 | $98.95 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 119.04 | $0.824 | $98.04 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | sell | 123.45 | $0.920 | $113.57 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?No | sell | 141.91 | $0.860 | $122.04 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?No | sell | 126.58 | $0.960 | $121.52 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?No | sell | 219.78 | $0.973 | $213.85 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?No | sell | 14.28 | $0.960 | $13.71 | Apr 8, 2026 |