- What is the “Elder Scrolls VI released by December 31?” market asking?
- It asks whether the following will happen: Elder Scrolls VI released by December 31? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
- What do the Yes and No prices mean?
- Right now Yes trades at 6.0¢ and No at 94.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 6.0% for Yes and 94.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
- When does this market close?
- Trading is scheduled to close on Jan 1, 2027 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
- How does this market resolve?
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elder Scrolls VI is officially released in the US by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Bethesda Softworks or its parent company,…
- What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
- 24h volume ($3.51K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($416.84) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
