Analytics
Yes is at 86%, up 33 points from 53% when the market opened on 2 Nov 2026.
Across the 5 daily closes on record from 2 Nov 2026 to 5 Nov 2026, the highest close was 86% on 5 Nov 2026 and the lowest 37.5% on 3 Nov 2026. Its largest one-day move was 42 points up, to 85.5% on 5 Nov 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on November 7?”.
$3.77K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $8.39K since listing. The order book holds $36.37K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 93 trades, $1.77K bought Yes and $575.46 bought No.
The largest Yes position is coinman2 with 1.3K shares; the largest No position is PhongLeXBT with 1.9K. Ten wallets hold 93.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 7 Nov 2026, 3 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 9:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 2 Nov 2026 – 5 Nov 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2026 | 53.0% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 86.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| PhongLeXBT | No | 1.88K |
| coinman2 | Yes | 1.35K |
| gt197 | Yes | 1.21K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-november-7-2026
| coinfilippe |
| Yes |
| 991 |
| Victorinus271 | No | 946 |
| Impressive-Steak | No | 894.8 |
| Rapid Maven 7394 | Yes | 322.3 |
| hfrozendancer | No | 196.15 |
| pp5ti | No | 192.3 |
| trader-827e741f | Yes | 155.1 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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