Analytics
Yes is at 98.5%, up 17 points from 81% when the market opened on 1 Nov 2026.
Across the 6 daily closes on record from 1 Nov 2026 to 5 Nov 2026, the highest close was 98.6% on 5 Nov 2026 and the lowest 77.5% on 3 Nov 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 98.6% on 5 Nov 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on November 7?”.
$15.85K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $17.48K since listing. The order book holds $42.78K, with a 0.3% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 66 trades, $3.26K bought Yes and $256.35 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Impressive-Steak with 10.4K shares; the largest No position is PhongLeXBT with 12.5K. Ten wallets hold 97.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 7 Nov 2026, 3 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 9:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 1 Nov 2026 – 5 Nov 2026, chart shows 70%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2026 | 81.0% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 98.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| PhongLeXBT | No | 12.45K |
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 10.36K |
| easypredict | Yes | 5.06K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-november-7-2026
| gt197 |
| No |
| 1.54K |
| coinfilippe | No | 935.84 |
| rizotor | No | 438.74 |
| Phoeniks3 | No | 372.59 |
| Thankful-Samovar | No | 204.08 |
| Mei. | Yes | 200 |
| Authorized-Rhetoric | No | 110.33 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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