Analytics
Yes is at 56%, up 29 points from 27.5% when the market opened on 1 Nov 2026.
Across the 6 daily closes on record from 1 Nov 2026 to 5 Nov 2026, the highest close was 58.5% on 5 Nov 2026 and the lowest 19% on 3 Nov 2026. Its largest one-day move was 38 points up, to 58.5% on 5 Nov 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on November 7?”.
$962.3 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.63K since listing. The order book holds $48.61K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 52 trades, $441.54 bought Yes and $214.17 bought No.
The largest Yes position is kingofcoinflips with 776 shares; the largest No position is ssddssd with 1K.
Trading closes on 7 Nov 2026, 3 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 9:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 1 Nov 2026 – 5 Nov 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2026 | 27.5% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 56.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ssddssd | No | 1K |
| kingofcoinflips | Yes | 776.31 |
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 217.05 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-november-7-2026
| hfrozendancer |
| Yes |
| 119 |
| KonradSchneider | No | 100 |
| Solar Sphinx B61F | Yes | 86.9 |
| 5f5a | No | 58.84 |
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 55.13 |
| ComicSansMS | No | 40 |
| piko | No | 29.9 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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