Analytics
Yes is at 97.1%, up 24 points from 73.5% when the market opened on 2 Nov 2026.
Across the 5 daily closes on record from 2 Nov 2026 to 5 Nov 2026, the highest close was 97.1% on 5 Nov 2026 and the lowest 59.5% on 3 Nov 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 96.6% on 5 Nov 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on November 7?”.
$14.95K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $19.47K since listing. The order book holds $40.82K, with a 0.4% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 106 trades, $11.98K bought Yes and $726.19 bought No; the largest was a $6.91K buy of Yes at 96.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Impressive-Steak with 10.3K shares; the largest No position is alibaba777 with 7.4K. Ten wallets hold 97.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 7 Nov 2026, 3 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 9:39 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 2 Nov 2026 – 5 Nov 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2026 | 73.5% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 97.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 10.27K |
| alibaba777 | No | 7.38K |
| PhongLeXBT | No | 3.53K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-november-7-2026
| Big-Bet-Yuko |
| Yes |
| 1.97K |
| Rapid Maven 7394 | Yes | 1.76K |
| gt197 | No | 1.56K |
| coinfilippe | No | 1.13K |
| Thankful-Samovar | No | 363.64 |
| hfrozendancer | No | 360 |
| ADENAWER809 | Yes | 104.17 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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