Analytics
Yes is at 21.9%, up 7.9 points from 14% when the market opened on 1 Nov 2026.
Across the 6 daily closes on record from 1 Nov 2026 to 5 Nov 2026, the highest close was 25.7% on 5 Nov 2026 and the lowest 7.5% on 4 Nov 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 25.7% on 5 Nov 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on November 7?”.
$1.65K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $7.23K since listing. The order book holds $46.93K, with a 2.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 69 trades, $611.77 bought Yes and $2.11K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Impressive-Steak with 2.1K shares; the largest No position is Pellepele with 1.4K. Ten wallets hold 92.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 7 Nov 2026, 3 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 9:39 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 1 Nov 2026 – 5 Nov 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2026 | 14.0% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 21.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 2.15K |
| Pellepele | No | 1.36K |
| ssddssd | No | 1.31K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-november-7-2026
| gt197 |
| Yes |
| 478.49 |
| hfrozendancer | Yes | 369.52 |
| easypredict | No | 364.3 |
| BipTheDip | No | 186.02 |
| Royal Signal A0D7 | No | 152.91 |
| Xavyc3 | Yes | 112 |
| Mei. | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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