Analytics
Yes is at 99.5%, up 4 points from 95.5% when the market opened on 1 Nov 2026.
Across the 6 daily closes on record from 1 Nov 2026 to 5 Nov 2026, the highest close was 99.5% on 5 Nov 2026 and the lowest 95% on 3 Nov 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on November 7?”.
$2.04K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $9.16K since listing. The order book holds $43.5K, with a 0.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 41 trades, $3.87K bought Yes and $194.19 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Impressive-Steak with 7.5K shares; the largest No position is PhongLeXBT with 2.4K. Ten wallets hold 96.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 7 Nov 2026, 3 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 9:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 1 Nov 2026 – 5 Nov 2026, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2026 | 95.5% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 99.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 7.53K |
| PhongLeXBT | No | 2.4K |
| gt197 | No | 1.7K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-november-7-2026
| e46m3 |
| No |
| 1.26K |
| Rapid Maven 7394 | No | 991.88 |
| myphbr | No | 536.85 |
| Thankful-Samovar | No | 372.63 |
| Authorized-Rhetoric | No | 364.4 |
| Facaie | Yes | 174.04 |
| 196874353278 | No | 149 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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