Analytics
Yes is at 99.7%, up 1.7 points from 98% when the market opened on 2 Nov 2026.
Across the 5 daily closes on record from 2 Nov 2026 to 5 Nov 2026, the highest close was 99.7% on 5 Nov 2026 and the lowest 97.5% on 3 Nov 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on November 8?”.
$222 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $5.3K since listing. The order book holds $34.61K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 33 trades, $2.62K bought Yes and $71.82 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Impressive-Steak with 4.7K shares; the largest No position is PhongLeXBT with 2.1K.
Trading closes on 8 Nov 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 9:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 2 Nov 2026 – 5 Nov 2026, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2026 | 98.0% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 99.7% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 4.73K |
| PhongLeXBT | No | 2.13K |
| gt197 | No | 2.06K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-november-8-2026
| myphbr |
| No |
| 544 |
| Glaring-Pain | No | 200 |
| Facaie | Yes | 105 |
| justbotting | Yes | 101.66 |
| 5f5a | Yes | 50 |
| Oleg777god | No | 45.68 |
| planktonXD | No | 11 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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