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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 2.12K | $0.527 | $1.11K | -$5.37 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?Yes | sell | 41.66 | $0.090 | $3.75 | 21h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 742.95 |
| $0.800 |
| $650.08 |
| +$55.72 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | No | 39.69 | $0.378 | $15.68 | +$0.68 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 107.14 | $0.140 | $5.89 | -$9.11 |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 166.67 | $0.060 | $5.75 | -$4.25 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.100 | $5.5 | -$4.5 |
 Russia coup attempt in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.100 | $5.5 | -$4.5 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? | Yes | 79.27 | $0.076 | $5.43 | -$0.57 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | Yes | 83.33 | $0.120 | $5.42 | -$4.58 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? | Yes | 111.11 | $0.090 | $5 | -$5 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 71.43 | $0.140 | $4.64 | -$5.36 |
 Will BMO fail by end of 2026? | Yes | 122.52 | $0.082 | $4.17 | -$5.83 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? | Yes | 111.11 | $0.090 | $3.78 | -$6.22 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 50 | $0.100 | $3.25 | -$1.75 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 58.82 | $0.170 | $3.24 | -$6.76 |
 Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 76.69 | $0.065 | $2.95 | -$2.05 |
 Will Truist fail by end of 2026? | Yes | 90.17 | $0.111 | $2.93 | -$7.07 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 52.63 | $0.190 | $2.89 | -$7.11 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 62.5 | $0.160 | $2.81 | -$7.19 |
 U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? | Yes | 35.71 | $0.140 | $2.68 | -$2.32 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 111.11 | $0.090 | $2.39 | -$7.61 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday be delayed? | Yes | 50 | $0.100 | $2.05 | -$2.95 |
 Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 31.25 | $0.320 | $2.03 | -$7.97 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%? | Yes | 163.8 | $0.024 | $1.88 | -$2.12 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | Yes | 96.77 | $0.031 | $1.84 | -$1.16 |
| buy |
| 39.47 |
| $0.760 |
| $30 |
| 21d ago |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International PlayoffsTeam Liquid | buy | 54.55 | $0.550 | $30 | 21d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETDown | sell | 1.92 | $0.930 | $1.79 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETDown | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETDown | sell | 1.92 | $0.960 | $1.84 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETDown | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETDown | sell | 1.96 | $0.960 | $1.88 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETDown | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETDown | sell | 1.96 | $0.980 | $1.92 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETDown | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETDown | sell | 9.09 | $0.100 | $0.91 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETDown | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETDown | sell | 33.33 | $0.020 | $0.67 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETDown | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Team Liquid to win 2-0?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| OG to win 2-0?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| OG to win 2-0?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.320 | $10 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 116.8 | $0.010 | $1.18 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?No | buy | 39.69 | $0.378 | $15 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 47.61 | $0.260 | $12.38 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 China coup attempt before 2027?Yes | sell | 80.98 | $0.042 | $3.4 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be delayed?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Another pandemic before GTA VI?No | sell | 20 | $0.490 | $9.8 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No | sell | 20 | $0.490 | $9.8 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | sell | 19.6 | $0.500 | $9.8 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before GTA VI?No | sell | 19.6 | $0.500 | $9.8 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | sell | 19.92 | $0.501 | $9.98 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before GTA VI?No | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | buy | 19.92 | $0.502 | $10 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Another pandemic before GTA VI?No | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?Yes | sell | 111.11 | $0.290 | $32.22 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?Yes | sell | 71.42 | $0.072 | $5.14 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?Yes | sell | 34.72 | $0.340 | $11.8 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 US defaults on debt by 2027?Yes | sell | 88.55 | $0.037 | $3.28 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSpain | sell | 16.73 | $0.703 | $11.75 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSpain | buy | 16.74 | $0.598 | $10 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Yes | sell | 37.03 | $0.268 | $9.91 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-18?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Yes | buy | 76.39 | $0.720 | $55 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-04?Yes | buy | 55.42 | $0.830 | $46 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?Yes | buy | 34.72 | $0.144 | $5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.045 | $5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 15.87 | $0.063 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 83.33 | $0.270 | $22.5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 107.14 | $0.140 | $15 | Jul 1, 2026 |