Analytics
Yes is at 22%, up 4 points from 18% when the market opened on 2 Nov 2026.
Across the 5 daily closes on record from 2 Nov 2026 to 5 Nov 2026, the highest close was 28.5% on 5 Nov 2026 and the lowest 7.5% on 3 Nov 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 28.5% on 5 Nov 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on November 8?”.
$23.07 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $730.82 since listing. The order book holds $23.17K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 27 trades, $31.52 bought Yes and $277.13 bought No.
The largest Yes position is lee886 with 248 shares; the largest No position is Impressive-Steak with 230.
Trading closes on 8 Nov 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 10:55 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 2 Nov 2026 – 5 Nov 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2026 | 18.0% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 21.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| lee886 | Yes | 247.98 |
| Impressive-Steak | No | 229.91 |
| Moktariano | Yes | 166.67 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-november-8-2026
| hfrozendancer |
| No |
| 144.99 |
| 5f5a | No | 57.99 |
| gmmms | Yes | 55.2 |
| oldcai | No | 30.9 |
| Mongoose80 | No | 10 |
| cryingbabydicer87 | Yes | 5 |
| gt197 | No | 4.1 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
