Analytics
Yes is at 99.7%, up 4.2 points from 95.5% when the market opened on 2 Nov 2026.
Across the 5 daily closes on record from 2 Nov 2026 to 5 Nov 2026, the highest close was 99.7% on 5 Nov 2026 and the lowest 95.3% on 3 Nov 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on November 8?”.
$125.45 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $3.4K since listing. The order book holds $44.6K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 31 trades, $3.18K bought Yes and $5.81 bought No; the largest was a $1.38K buy of Yes at 95.9¢.
The largest Yes position is Impressive-Steak with 3.1K shares; the largest No position is gt197 with 2.7K.
Trading closes on 8 Nov 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 10:55 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 2 Nov 2026 – 5 Nov 2026, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2026 | 95.5% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 99.7% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 3.13K |
| gt197 | No | 2.7K |
| myphbr | No | 409.99 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-november-8-2026
| 5f5a |
| Yes |
| 90.52 |
| coinman2 | No | 80.98 |
| 196874353278 | No | 42 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 32.99 |
| planktonXD | No | 23 |
| cryingbabydicer87 | Yes | 10 |
| harlighet | No | 8.96 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
