Analytics
Yes is at 98.2%, up 12 points from 86.5% when the market opened on 2 Nov 2026.
Across the 5 daily closes on record from 2 Nov 2026 to 5 Nov 2026, the highest close was 98.5% on 5 Nov 2026 and the lowest 76.5% on 3 Nov 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 98.4% on 5 Nov 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on November 8?”.
$473.51 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.95K since listing. The order book holds $27.33K, with a 1.9% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 26 trades, $1.12K bought Yes and $39.12 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Impressive-Steak with 1.4K shares; the largest No position is gt197 with 916. Ten wallets hold 96.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 8 Nov 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 10:51 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 2 Nov 2026 – 5 Nov 2026, chart shows 70%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2026 | 86.5% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 98.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 1.42K |
| gt197 | No | 916 |
| Thankful-Samovar | No | 333.33 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-november-8-2026
| Authorized-Rhetoric |
| No |
| 250 |
| jijijijing | No | 105.69 |
| 5f5a | Yes | 91 |
| apper | Yes | 65 |
| 196874353278 | No | 59 |
| cryingbabydicer87 | Yes | 50.69 |
| milesguo | No | 34.48 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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