Analytics
Yes is at 96.2%, up 24 points from 72.5% when the market opened on 2 Nov 2026.
Across the 5 daily closes on record from 2 Nov 2026 to 5 Nov 2026, the highest close was 96.2% on 5 Nov 2026 and the lowest 59.5% on 3 Nov 2026. Its largest one-day move was 29 points up, to 96% on 5 Nov 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on November 8?”.
$1.48K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $5.48K since listing. The order book holds $31.34K, with a 1.4% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 46 trades, $3.9K bought Yes and $62.57 bought No; the largest was a $1.02K buy of Yes at 71.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Big-Bet-Yuko with 2K shares; the largest No position is Impressive-Steak with 2.1K.
Trading closes on 8 Nov 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 10:53 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 2 Nov 2026 – 5 Nov 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2026 | 72.5% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 96.2% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | No | 2.11K |
| Big-Bet-Yuko | Yes | 1.97K |
| Pellepele | Yes | 1.44K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-november-8-2026
| gt197 |
| No |
| 1.31K |
| hfrozendancer | No | 165.11 |
| ADENAWER809 | Yes | 104.17 |
| easyclap | No | 44.45 |
| binaryblitz1 | Yes | 34.28 |
| ComicSansMS | Yes | 23 |
| cryingbabydicer87 | No | 20.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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