Analytics
Yes is at 53.5%, up 20 points from 34% when the market opened on 2 Nov 2026.
Across the 5 daily closes on record from 2 Nov 2026 to 5 Nov 2026, the highest close was 58% on 5 Nov 2026 and the lowest 19% on 3 Nov 2026. Its largest one-day move was 36 points up, to 58% on 5 Nov 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on November 8?”.
$127.64 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $423.06 since listing. The order book holds $21.54K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 25 trades, $92.19 bought Yes and $143.17 bought No.
The largest Yes position is kingofcoinflips with 154 shares; the largest No position is hfrozendancer with 160.
Trading closes on 8 Nov 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 10:51 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 2 Nov 2026 – 5 Nov 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2026 | 34.0% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 55.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| hfrozendancer | No | 160 |
| kingofcoinflips | Yes | 153.74 |
| gt197 | Yes | 143.87 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-november-8-2026
| Moktariano |
| Yes |
| 83.33 |
| Impressive-Steak | No | 83.33 |
| 5f5a | No | 80 |
| binaryblitz1 | No | 28.55 |
| ComicSansMS | No | 25 |
| Mongoose80 | No | 10 |
| opol1 | No | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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