What is the “35% Canada tariff in effect by August 1?” market asking?
It asks whether the following will happen: 35% Canada tariff in effect by August 1? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?
At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?
Trading is scheduled to close on Aug 1, 2025. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?
On July 10, President Trump announced that the United States would apply a 35% tariff to all imports from Canada beginning August 1 (see: https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/trump-administration/trump-us-canada-imports-35-tariff-trade-war-mark-carney-rcna218182) This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general 35% tariff on imports into the United States from Canada goes into effect for any amount of time by August 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have passed without…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
24h volume ($18.32K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
$12.72K
Yes sell at 99.5%
History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · 1440 min sampling · latest observation Aug 1, 12:00 AM
Vultax loaded 20 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 96.7% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.
Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?
Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Aug 3, 12:51 AM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.
Can I trade this market on Vultax?
No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/35-canada-tariff-in-effect-by-august-1) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.
