Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | sell | 130.2 | $0.820 | $106.76 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 13.69 |
| $0.131 |
| $1.79 |
| Aug 2, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?No | buy | 67.01 | $0.910 | $60.98 | Jul 24, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?No | buy | 159.08 | $0.699 | $111.15 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 22?No | buy | 60.98 | $0.820 | $50 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 35% Canada tariff in effect by August 1?No | buy | 126.98 | $0.630 | $80 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?No | sell | 207.83 | $0.820 | $170.42 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?No | buy | 51.59 | $0.388 | $20 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Pam Bondi out as Attorney General in July?No | buy | 316.46 | $0.948 | $300 | Jul 12, 2025 |
 50% Brazil tariff in effect by August 1?No | buy | 311.5 | $0.642 | $200 | Jul 12, 2025 |
| 35% Canada tariff in effect by August 1?No | buy | 140.85 | $0.710 | $100 | Jul 12, 2025 |
| Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?No | buy | 156.25 | $0.640 | $100 | Jul 12, 2025 |
 Will Grok-4 be the top AI before August?No | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?No | buy | 709.99 | $0.986 | $700 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 130.21 | $0.768 | $100 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?No | buy | 517.92 | $0.860 | $445.41 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | buy | 396.92 | $0.967 | $383.82 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | buy | 48.48 | $0.990 | $48 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?Yes | buy | 13.7 | $0.073 | $1 | Jul 6, 2025 |