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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Anduril IPO before 2027? | Yes | 46.47 | $0.323 | $2.79 | -$12.21 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anduril IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 46.47 | $0.323 | $15 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 39.99 |
| $0.300 |
| $12 |
| Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Bayern Munich finish first in UCL league phase?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.011 | $2 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the February 2026 meeting?No | buy | 87.19 | $0.023 | $2 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 51.5 | $0.019 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 48.81 | $0.020 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 53.68 | $0.019 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 28, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 106.84 | $0.028 | $3 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 34.6 | $0.410 | $14.19 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 680k+ BTC by January 31?Yes | buy | 25.53 | $0.661 | $16.87 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | sell | 112.5 | $0.150 | $16.88 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 34.6 | $0.430 | $14.88 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.055 | $6.88 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 US forces in Venezuela by December 31?Yes | sell | 57.69 | $0.080 | $4.62 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Databricks IPO in 2025?Yes | sell | 111.11 | $0.008 | $0.92 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Anduril IPO in 2025?Yes | sell | 124.54 | $0.007 | $0.91 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy hold 680k+ BTC by December 31?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 32.78 | $0.330 | $10.82 | Nov 8, 2025 |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 112.5 | $0.160 | $18 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Palantir say "AI Growth" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 21.04 | $0.238 | $5 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 No change in Bank of England's interest rates after November 2025 meeting?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the December meeting?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| US forces in Venezuela by December 31?Yes | buy | 57.69 | $0.260 | $15 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 US forces in Venezuela by October 31?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.045 | $5 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the October meeting?No | sell | 25.86 | $0.880 | $22.76 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks in 2025?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 65.57 | $0.610 | $40 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.120 | $15 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the October meeting?No | buy | 25.86 | $0.580 | $15 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?Yes | buy | 113.64 | $0.220 | $25 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?Yes | buy | 107.14 | $0.140 | $15 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?Yes | buy | 199.2 | $0.005 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by October 15?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 80.05 | $0.880 | $70.44 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 North Korea missile launch by October 15?No | sell | 34.24 | $0.964 | $33.01 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.058 | $2 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Joe Biden make an appearance by October 15?No | buy | 26.19 | $0.420 | $11 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's November 2025 meeting?No | buy | 32.14 | $0.062 | $2 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Turkey by December 31?Yes | buy | 55.21 | $0.072 | $4 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Databricks IPO in 2025?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Anduril IPO in 2025?Yes | buy | 124.54 | $0.080 | $10 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Yemen 4 or more times by September 30?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.026 | $2 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?Yes | buy | 21.96 | $0.501 | $11 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 80.06 | $0.500 | $40 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Will Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 32.79 | $0.610 | $20 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| North Korea missile launch by October 15?No | buy | 34.25 | $0.730 | $25 | Sep 23, 2025 |