Analytics
Resolved Yes on 12 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 96%. Yes opened at 64% on 31 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 96% on 12 Jan 2026 and the low 63.5% on 3 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8 points up, to 72% on 1 Jan 2026. $49.14K traded over the market's life.
29 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 13, 4:21 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 31 Dec 2025 – 12 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Dec 2025 | 64.0% |
| 12 Jan 2026 | 96.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MPIL | No | 3.61K |
| p0099 | No | 3K |
| ghejerwigwr | No | 742.83 |
| ringeo | No | 700 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if MicroStrategy Incorporated or Michael Saylor officially announce that the company’s total Bitcoin holdings are equal to or greater than the number specified in the title at any point by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor as to their total BTC holdings. For reference, MicroStrategy’s reported BTC holdings can be tracked at: https://www.strategy.com/purchases
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-microstrategy-announce-holding-680k-btc-by-january-31
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