Analytics
Resolved Yes on 6 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 67.5%. Yes opened at 74.5% on 1 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 74.5% on 1 Oct 2025 and the low 51% on 4 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 64.5% on 5 Oct 2025. $51.84K traded over the market's life.
54 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 6 points · 1 Oct 2025 – 6 Oct 2025 · axis zoomed to 40%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Oct 2025 | 74.5% |
| 6 Oct 2025 | 67.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BasilP | No | 2.42K |
| CrowdOracle | No | 1.78K |
| djdjdj | No | 1.64K |
| Sgmoney | No | 583.34 |
| lissartter | No | 562.26 |
| LukeGamma | No | 500 |
| Lavish-Hyena | No | 340.39 |
| Eri04001 | No | 251.92 |
| randomoptions | No | 234.39 |
| bobarros | No | 208.84 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden makes a new public or digital appearance between September 30, 7:00 PM ET and October 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A public appearance includes, for example, an appearance at a press conference. A digital appearance must be verified as new, authentic footage (not AI-generated). For instance, if Biden appears in a new prerecorded speech, this market will resolve to "Yes". Biden must be awake for this market to resolve to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-joe-biden-make-an-appearance-by-october-15
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