Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 5.66 |
| $0.530 |
| $3 |
| Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Thursday?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will Trump attend the FIFA Club World Cup finals?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?Yes | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Another Israel strike on Yemen by Friday?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.860 | $2 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.690 | $3 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?No | buy | 5.61 | $0.892 | $5 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Paetongtarn Shinawatra out as Prime Minister of Thailand in July?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Yoon arrested by July 15?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 US strikes Yemen before August?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 6.28 | $0.796 | $5 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Sam Altman arrested before July?No | buy | 20.04 | $0.998 | $20 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | sell | 10.86 | $0.989 | $10.74 | Jun 29, 2025 |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Another U.S. strike on Fordow nuclear facility before July?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.991 | $5 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Trump trade deal before July?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 27?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Iran on June 24?Yes | sell | 4.39 | $0.920 | $4.04 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 24?Yes | buy | 4.39 | $0.911 | $4 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 US x Iran ceasefire before July?No | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 US strike on Iran on June 23?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.993 | $5 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | buy | 5.63 | $0.888 | $5 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| US x Iran ceasefire before July?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 5.24 | $0.954 | $5 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 3.19 | $0.940 | $3 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Sunday June 22?No | buy | 3.26 | $0.920 | $3 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Another US military action against Iran by Monday?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Another US military action against Iran by Sunday?Yes | buy | 21.18 | $0.170 | $3.6 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?No | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump say Fordow during his Iran address on June 21?No | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran by Friday?No | buy | 11.13 | $0.710 | $7.9 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before July?No | buy | 3.07 | $0.978 | $3 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.990 | $3 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy before July?No | buy | 4.61 | $0.868 | $4 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Israel announces end of military operations against Iran by Friday?No | buy | 6.45 | $0.930 | $6 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.850 | $2.4 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?No | buy | 18.9 | $0.418 | $7.9 | Jun 18, 2025 |