Analytics
Profile detail last fetched 1h ago. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 521 | $0.942 | $501.46 | +$10.68 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 21 | $0.942 | $19.78 | May 7, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 500 |
| $0.942 |
| $471 |
| May 7, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 492.55 | $0.995 | $490.09 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?No | buy | 451.77 | $0.985 | $444.99 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Tether insolvent in 2025?No | buy | 18 | $0.993 | $17.87 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?Yes | sell | 45.89 | $0.266 | $12.19 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Spain snap election called in 2025?No | sell | 23 | $0.660 | $15.18 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 U.S. fertility rate up in Q2 2025?No | sell | 28.69 | $0.590 | $16.93 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Will Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?No | sell | 25 | $0.850 | $21.25 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Britney Spears tour in 2025?No | sell | 25 | $0.910 | $22.75 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 OpenAI social app in 2025?No | sell | 30.26 | $0.820 | $24.81 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?Yes | sell | 2.87 | $0.640 | $1.84 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?No | sell | 36.36 | $0.647 | $23.51 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?No | sell | 2.63 | $0.540 | $1.42 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Trump x Khamenei talk in 2025?No | sell | 32.14 | $0.850 | $27.32 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 15?No | sell | 43.17 | $0.713 | $30.79 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 1?Yes | sell | 22.45 | $0.002 | $0.04 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV meet with Donald Trump in 2025?No | sell | 45.78 | $0.720 | $32.96 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Will Paul Skenes win the 2025 NL Cy Young?No | sell | 67.72 | $0.540 | $36.57 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?No | sell | 74.01 | $0.580 | $42.93 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Negative GDP growth in 2025?No | sell | 56.32 | $0.867 | $48.81 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner engaged in 2025?No | sell | 75 | $0.810 | $60.75 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Will RFK end COVID-19 vaccine recommendation in 2025?No | sell | 56.56 | $0.710 | $40.16 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Palmer Luckey Erebor Bank chartered in 2025?No | sell | 38.39 | $0.540 | $20.73 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Will the Seattle Mariners win the AL West Division?No | sell | 44.99 | $0.790 | $35.54 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 US Treasury transactions on blockchain in 2025?No | sell | 49.99 | $0.790 | $39.49 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?No | sell | 15.2 | $0.660 | $10.03 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Will Kathy Hochul endorse Mamdani?No | sell | 17.29 | $0.640 | $11.07 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?Yes | sell | 29.11 | $0.270 | $7.86 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Will Jack Grealish sign with a new club during the transfer window?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.800 | $20.8 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Will Kathy Hochul endorse Mamdani?No | sell | 20.88 | $0.610 | $12.74 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump cut taxes on high earners in 2025?Yes | sell | 74.98 | $0.100 | $7.5 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will Aaron Judge lead the MLB in Home Runs?No | sell | 24.99 | $0.520 | $12.99 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Will Kathy Hochul endorse Mamdani?No | sell | 31 | $0.620 | $19.22 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before October?No | sell | 26.51 | $0.760 | $20.15 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?No | sell | 74.3 | $0.700 | $52.01 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the NL East Division?No | sell | 49.99 | $0.410 | $20.5 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords in 2025?No | sell | 74.98 | $0.780 | $58.48 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025No | sell | 24.99 | $0.070 | $1.75 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will the New York Yankees win the 2025 American League Championship?No | sell | 74.59 | $0.760 | $56.69 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by August 31?Yes | sell | 34.71 | $0.240 | $8.33 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by August 31?Yes | sell | 29.6 | $0.170 | $5.03 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump endorse a candidate for NYC Mayor?Yes | sell | 71.73 | $0.350 | $25.11 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?No | sell | 33.86 | $0.560 | $18.96 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | sell | 74.84 | $0.460 | $34.43 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?No | sell | 23.56 | $0.780 | $18.38 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?No | sell | 74.25 | $0.780 | $57.92 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will Primož Roglič finish in the top five at the Tour de France 2025?No | sell | 56.1 | $0.750 | $42.08 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will Vienna host Eurovision 2026?No | sell | 10.3 | $0.260 | $2.68 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?No | sell | 42 | $0.180 | $7.56 | Jul 17, 2025 |