ArmageddonRewardsBilly — Polymarket trader profile

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Predictions Analytics

ArmageddonRewardsBilly — Polymarket trader profile | Vultax

Recorded trading activityAvailable recent taker fills; not complete wallet history

Accepted fills

No matching rows in the bounded latest tape

Markets traded

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Recorded activity window

Taker notional

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Accepted recent fills only

Largest fill

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Maximum accepted taker notional

No accepted signalLatest activity Jul 21, 2026

This is bounded taker-side evidence, not complete wallet history. More profile metrics appear as this wallet is observed.

Independent provider positionsLast accepted provider snapshot · Partial provider response · Observed Sep 10, 9:43 PM

The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.

Returned position value

$1.58M

All returned positions at this observation

Returned position PnL

+$273.64K

Provider position PnL, separate from cohort PnL

Positions returned

500

Partial provider response

Markets represented

499

Distinct markets in the returned positions

Market	Outcome	Shares	Observed price	Observed value	Position PnL
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	1.37M	64.5%	$883.63K	+$294.66K
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	70K	24.3%	$16.98K	-$18.02K
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	70K	75.8%	$53.03K	+$18.02K
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	No	51.29K	90.5%	$46.42K	+$1.95K
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	No	45.12K	88.0%	$39.71K	+$3.24K
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?	Yes	40.76K	0.4%	$183.44	-$4.56K
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?	Yes	34.54K	0.1%	$51.81	-$4.12K
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?	Yes	33.85K	0.4%	$152.33	-$7.3K
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?	Yes	30.06K	2.1%	$646.27	-$4.01K
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	No	28.41K	84.0%	$23.86K	+$8.35K
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	No	25.69K	92.0%	$23.64K	+$2.5K
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	23.19K	87.0%	$20.18K	-$69.32
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	20K	35.5%	$7.1K	-$6.11K
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	19.75K	14.2%	$2.81K	-$617.45
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	Yes	16.03K	92.0%	$14.75K	+$1.56K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	15K	83.5%	$12.53K	-$126.66
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	13.82K	88.5%	$12.23K	-$259.21
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	13.56K	58.4%	$7.91K	-$1.11K
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?	No	13.51K	86.5%	$11.68K	+$639.18
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	No	13.4K	47.5%	$6.36K	-$3.36K
Will Ann Kao win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election?	Yes	12.42K	86.0%	$10.68K	-$228.66
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	12.4K	0.3%	$31.01	-$154.69
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	12.23K	43.5%	$5.32K	-$1.61K
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	12.03K	54.9%	$6.61K	+$1.59K
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	Yes	11.3K	59.5%	$6.73K	-$3.25K

Showing 25 of 500 returned rows. Partial provider response.

Independent provider positionsLoading the provider observation

Provider positions are loading. The cohort performance summary is available independently.

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14d

30d

Cross-venue exposure

Tracker room participation

Source evidence