Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETDown | buy | 96.28 | $0.170 | $16.37 | Apr 24, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 18.61 |
| $0.999 |
| $18.59 |
| Apr 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETDown | buy | 18.6 | $0.990 | $18.41 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?No | sell | 31.25 | $0.590 | $18.44 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETUp | buy | 897.23 | $0.236 | $211.4 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETUp | buy | 261.63 | $0.250 | $65.41 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETDown | sell | 99.99 | $0.460 | $46 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETDown | sell | 94.24 | $0.430 | $40.52 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETDown | buy | 88.48 | $0.200 | $17.7 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETUp | sell | 114.98 | $0.310 | $35.64 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETDown | sell | 10 | $0.340 | $3.4 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 443.3 | $0.680 | $301.44 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 443.31 | $0.620 | $274.85 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?Yes | sell | 12.7 | $0.050 | $0.64 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?No | sell | 14.27 | $0.962 | $13.73 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?No | sell | 32.54 | $0.790 | $25.71 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?No | sell | 264.47 | $0.888 | $234.78 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?No | buy | 48.95 | $0.890 | $43.59 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 145.31 | $0.300 | $43.59 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?No | buy | 14.27 | $0.840 | $11.99 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on April 23?Yes | sell | 22.75 | $0.330 | $7.51 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on April 23?Yes | sell | 55.02 | $0.090 | $4.95 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on April 23?Yes | buy | 52.58 | $0.150 | $7.89 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on April 23?Yes | buy | 21.98 | $0.340 | $7.47 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | sell | 16.71 | $0.995 | $16.63 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 16.72 | $0.960 | $16.05 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?No | sell | 17.63 | $0.910 | $16.04 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 145.31 | $0.290 | $42.14 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | sell | 18.35 | $0.800 | $14.68 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | sell | 15.87 | $0.985 | $15.63 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | sell | 14.08 | $0.840 | $11.83 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?No | buy | 32.55 | $0.620 | $20.18 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 11.28 | $0.904 | $10.2 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 10.86 | $0.920 | $9.99 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 18.35 | $0.770 | $14.13 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | sell | 14.7 | $0.961 | $14.13 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?No | buy | 215.52 | $0.558 | $120.26 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | sell | 16.94 | $0.420 | $7.11 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 US recession by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 28.57 | $0.240 | $6.86 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Houthis successfully target shipping by March 31?Yes | sell | 23.8 | $0.130 | $3.09 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?Yes | buy | 12.71 | $0.240 | $3.05 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 6.22 | $0.490 | $3.05 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.400 | $12.5 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 6.23 | $0.480 | $2.99 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand PlayoffsGen.G | sell | 40.87 | $0.071 | $2.9 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand PlayoffsGen.G | buy | 40.87 | $0.183 | $7.5 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 625 | $0.012 | $7.5 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.78 | $0.590 | $4 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Houthis successfully target shipping by March 31?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Mar 20, 2026 |