Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 84.5%. Yes opened at 36.5% on 18 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 36.5% on 18 Mar 2026 and the low 9.5% on 26 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 21% on 19 Mar 2026. $69.01K traded over the market's life.
30 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 15, 11:37 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 12 points · 18 Mar 2026 – 29 Mar 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Mar 2026 | 36.5% |
| 29 Mar 2026 | 15.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| FortunateSuns | Yes | 202.92 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 200 |
| 5atka | Yes | 200 |
| Yushy | Yes | 119.9 |
| Akbar1 | Yes | 113.64 |
| Eaglesnake | Yes | 100.55 |
| Muted-Snowstorm | Yes | 100.01 |
| boomeje | Yes | 100 |
| Violet Vector B233 | Yes | 72.9 |
| jflex | Yes | 61.72 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris. Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/houthis-successfully-target-shipping-by-march-31
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