Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?Yes | sell | 23.8 | $0.040 | $0.95 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 71.42 |
| $0.130 |
| $9.28 |
| Sep 18, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | sell | 114.65 | $0.200 | $22.93 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 60.71 | $0.260 | $15.78 | Sep 13, 2025 |
 Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 114.51 | $0.023 | $2.63 | Sep 11, 2025 |
 Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?Yes | sell | 84.61 | $0.055 | $4.67 | Sep 11, 2025 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?Yes | sell | 116 | $0.017 | $1.97 | Sep 11, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | sell | 312.76 | $0.047 | $14.7 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.350 | $10 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 42.86 | $0.280 | $12 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Elections go right: OctoberYes | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 133.9 | $0.037 | $5 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 212.77 | $0.047 | $10 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Jesus" during September?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.470 | $37.6 | Sep 5, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 114.75 | $0.061 | $7 | Sep 5, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | Sep 5, 2025 |
| Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 114.52 | $0.061 | $7 | Sep 5, 2025 |
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?Up | sell | 21.96 | $0.830 | $18.23 | Sep 5, 2025 |
 Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | sell | 37.5 | $0.130 | $4.88 | Sep 5, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | Sep 1, 2025 |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 37.5 | $0.160 | $6 | Sep 1, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Sep 1, 2025 |
| Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?Yes | buy | 84.62 | $0.130 | $11 | Sep 1, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 162.16 | $0.037 | $6 | Sep 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Jesus" during September?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.150 | $12 | Aug 31, 2025 |
 Will Trump’s approval rating be 43.5–43.9% on September 5?Yes | buy | 44.71 | $0.336 | $15 | Aug 31, 2025 |
| Trump approval Up or Down this week?Up | buy | 21.96 | $0.683 | $15 | Aug 31, 2025 |
 Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.282 | $6 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?Yes | buy | 66 | $0.152 | $10 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in 2025?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.070 | $5.25 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 52.63 | $0.750 | $39.47 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?Yes | sell | 21.42 | $0.230 | $4.93 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Next dildo thrown onto WNBA court is green/yellow?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.040 | $5 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Next dildo thrown onto WNBA court is green/yellow?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.120 | $6 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 70.42 | $0.071 | $5 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 39.47 | $0.760 | $30 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 333.33 | $0.006 | $2 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Fed rate cut in 2025?No | sell | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Fed rate cut in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in 2025?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.080 | $6 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?Yes | buy | 21.43 | $0.280 | $6 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.006 | $2 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Will Pope Francis step down before July?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | Apr 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 233.95 | $0.110 | $25.73 | Apr 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.330 | $10 | Jan 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in his first 100 days?Yes | sell | 300.68 | $0.257 | $77.28 | Jan 23, 2025 |