Analytics
Resolved Yes on 16 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 21% on 12 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 12 Aug 2025 to 16 Aug 2025, the highest close was 100% on 16 Aug 2025 and the lowest 21% on 12 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 79 points up, to 99.8% on 13 Aug 2025. $7.92M traded over the market's life.
196 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 17, 8:51 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 12 Aug 2025 – 16 Aug 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Aug 2025 | 21.0% |
| 16 Aug 2025 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| nikv | No | 334.72K |
| ctrips | No | 202.87K |
| stylish | No | 181.15K |
| liamcowish | No | 162K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump deploys any National Guard troops into Washington, D.C., on active duty by August 11, 2025 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only the actual deployment of National Guard personnel into Washington, D.C., will qualify; an announcement of a future deployment alone will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-deploy-national-guard-in-dc-by-monday
| Usr232346366 | No | 150.16K |
| theglitch | No | 113.18K |
| cgnf | No | 93.61K |
| Bmoney1998 | No | 87.45K |
| 1sqeakyparrot | No | 30K |
| Beeter | No | 28.5K |
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