Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | sell | 155.55 | $0.041 | $6.38 | Sep 27, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 353.53 |
| $0.040 |
| $14.14 |
| Sep 27, 2025 |
 Will Bernie Sanders say "Greed" 2+ times during Fighting Oligarchy speech on August 24?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Aug 24, 2025 |
| Will Bernie Sanders say "Putin" during Fighting Oligarchy speech on August 24?Yes | buy | 44.12 | $0.340 | $15 | Aug 24, 2025 |
| Will Bernie Sanders say "Elon" or "Musk" during Fighting Oligarchy speech on August 24?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Aug 24, 2025 |
| Will Bernie Sanders say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Fighting Oligarchy speech on August 24?Yes | buy | 81.99 | $0.183 | $15 | Aug 24, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 250–274 times August 15–August 22?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.050 | $6 | Aug 22, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 250–274 times August 15–August 22?Yes | buy | 225.86 | $0.111 | $25 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?Yes | sell | 285.04 | $0.096 | $27.36 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?No | sell | 101.49 | $0.210 | $21.31 | Aug 21, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?No | buy | 101.5 | $0.394 | $40 | Aug 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Peanut" this week?Yes | buy | 61.54 | $0.130 | $8 | Aug 19, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31?Yes | sell | 214.28 | $0.050 | $10.71 | Aug 19, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?Yes | sell | 198.96 | $0.036 | $7.16 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.400 | $50 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?Yes | buy | 285.04 | $0.491 | $140 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in August?Yes | sell | 117.22 | $0.058 | $6.83 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | sell | 105.37 | $0.971 | $102.27 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in August?Yes | buy | 117.23 | $0.068 | $8 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?Yes | buy | 198.96 | $0.080 | $16 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Pope Leo in August?Yes | buy | 471.61 | $0.032 | $15 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 429.66 | $0.326 | $140 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Hottest Country" during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.151 | $22.69 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 15+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?No | sell | 146.85 | $0.127 | $18.62 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Hottest Country" during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.429 | $64.35 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?Yes | buy | 190.82 | $0.262 | $50 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 15+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?No | buy | 146.86 | $0.340 | $50 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together by August 31?Yes | sell | 105.63 | $0.181 | $19.14 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Yes | sell | 827.58 | $0.200 | $165.52 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Yes | sell | 827.57 | $0.200 | $165.51 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together by August 31?Yes | buy | 105.63 | $0.142 | $15 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?Yes | buy | 68.5 | $0.219 | $15 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?Yes | sell | 55.26 | $0.984 | $54.38 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.5–44.9% on August 15?Yes | sell | 102.04 | $0.004 | $0.45 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Rare Earth" during conference with Putin on August 15?Yes | buy | 84.44 | $0.450 | $38 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?No | sell | 55.55 | $0.330 | $18.33 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be <43.5% on August 15?Yes | sell | 78.94 | $0.066 | $5.2 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?No | sell | 322.58 | $0.011 | $3.55 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 105.37 | $0.949 | $100 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.270 | $15 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be 45.0–45.4% on August 15?Yes | sell | 98.66 | $0.002 | $0.2 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?No | buy | 10K | $0.002 | $20 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?No | buy | 7.5K | $0.002 | $15 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?No | buy | 5K | $0.002 | $10 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: AugustNo | sell | 136.36 | $0.060 | $8.18 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Yes | buy | 434.78 | $0.230 | $100 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Ethereum above $4600 on August 13?No | sell | 142.85 | $0.110 | $15.71 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Ethereum above $4600 on August 13?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.140 | $20 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?No | sell | 153.84 | $0.058 | $8.92 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin in Alaska on August 15?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Aug 12, 2025 |