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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 35.12 | $0.910 | $31.96 | May 28, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 48.13 |
| $0.934 |
| $44.95 |
| May 28, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 93.06 | $0.430 | $40.02 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 93.07 | $0.590 | $54.91 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | sell | 25.32 | $0.005 | $0.13 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 18.33 | $0.136 | $2.5 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 52.48 | $0.973 | $51.06 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?Yes | sell | 17.25 | $0.012 | $0.2 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | sell | 433.99 | $0.002 | $0.87 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 48.14 | $0.872 | $42 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | sell | 200 | $0.210 | $42 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 234.33 | $0.240 | $56.24 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 56.81 | $0.990 | $56.24 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 35.13 | $0.870 | $30.56 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiYes | sell | 13.33 | $0.700 | $9.33 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?No | sell | 24.69 | $0.860 | $21.23 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 264.53 | $0.890 | $235.43 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | sell | 470.86 | $0.500 | $235.43 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 52.49 | $0.880 | $46.19 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?No | buy | 46.19 | $0.990 | $45.73 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Another US strike on Venezuela on January 10?No | sell | 21.05 | $0.995 | $20.93 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiYes | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?No | buy | 24.69 | $0.810 | $20 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 52.19 | $0.964 | $50.33 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 25.32 | $0.790 | $20 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 45.45 | $0.210 | $9.54 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiYes | sell | 13.33 | $0.730 | $9.73 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiYes | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | sell | 30.72 | $0.820 | $25.19 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 30.73 | $0.800 | $24.58 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela on January 5?No | sell | 20.61 | $0.994 | $20.49 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 45.45 | $0.090 | $4.09 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?Yes | buy | 17.25 | $0.320 | $5.52 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela on January 10?No | buy | 21.05 | $0.950 | $20 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 52.19 | $0.958 | $50 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela on January 5?No | buy | 20.62 | $0.970 | $20 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 95.52 | $0.993 | $94.85 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 56.82 | $0.880 | $50 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 135.14 | $0.740 | $100 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | sell | 470.86 | $0.510 | $240.14 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberNo | sell | 31.73 | $0.160 | $5.08 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberNo | buy | 31.73 | $0.158 | $5 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Knicks vs. TimberwolvesKnicks | buy | 9.38 | $0.320 | $3 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 42.55 | $0.047 | $2 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 14.63 | $0.680 | $9.95 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | sell | 18.86 | $0.510 | $9.62 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | buy | 18.87 | $0.530 | $10 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | buy | 941.72 | $0.531 | $500 | Nov 7, 2025 |