Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5.12 | +$0.12 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?No | buy | 21.43 | $0.140 | $3 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 |
| Yes |
| 52.63 |
| $0.019 |
| $1.82 |
| +$0.82 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 20 | $0.050 | $1.81 | +$0.81 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 33.43 | $0.030 | $0.85 | -$0.15 |
| buy |
| 7.2 |
| $0.694 |
| $5 |
| Sep 23, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No | buy | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced by October 31?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 12.2 | $0.164 | $2 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 40.32 | $0.124 | $5 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?No | buy | 13.15 | $0.380 | $5 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31?No | buy | 6.85 | $0.730 | $5 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 33.43 | $0.030 | $1 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 New arrests in Charlie Kirk shooting by September 30?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 11.63 | $0.430 | $5 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| TikTok sale announced by September 30?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 29.24 | $0.171 | $5 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104000 and $106000 on May 16?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | May 13, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?No | buy | 11.97 | $0.418 | $5 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | May 13, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $93000 and $95000 on May 9?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | May 5, 2025 |
 XRP all time high by June 30?Yes | buy | 63.8 | $0.078 | $5 | May 5, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | sell | 50.12 | $0.270 | $13.53 | May 1, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92000 and $94000 on May 2?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Apr 30, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96000 and $98000 on May 2?Yes | buy | 15.79 | $0.190 | $3 | Apr 30, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94000 and $96000 on May 2?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will India invade Pakistan before July?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will the next Pope be from Europe?Yes | buy | 10.17 | $0.590 | $6 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 India military action against Pakistan before June?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.790 | $9.88 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Germany before July?Yes | buy | 20.71 | $0.241 | $5 | Apr 24, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with France before July?Yes | buy | 20.68 | $0.242 | $5 | Apr 24, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Brazil before July?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Apr 23, 2025 |
| India military action against Pakistan before June?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | Apr 23, 2025 |
 Elon out of Trump administration before July?Yes | sell | 24.39 | $0.435 | $10.61 | Apr 23, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Apr 23, 2025 |
 Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Apr 23, 2025 |
| Elon out of Trump administration before July?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.410 | $10 | Apr 23, 2025 |
 Ethereum above $1,600 on April 25?Yes | buy | 11.59 | $0.431 | $5 | Apr 21, 2025 |
| Will the next Pope be from Europe?Yes | buy | 8.06 | $0.620 | $5 | Apr 21, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $85000 and $87000 on Apr 25?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | Apr 21, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $87000 and $89000 on Apr 25?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Apr 21, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82000 and $84000 on Apr 18?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | Apr 14, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84000 and $86000 on Apr 18?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Apr 14, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?No | sell | 27.5 | $0.470 | $12.92 | Apr 9, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.035 | $1 | Apr 8, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 17.65 | $0.170 | $3 | Apr 8, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $2000 in April?No | sell | 21.73 | $0.880 | $19.12 | Apr 8, 2025 |