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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 200 | $0.995 | $199.1 | +$0.1 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 0.51 | $0.963 | $0.49 | 7h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 300.01 |
| $0.443 |
| $139.5 |
| +$6.5 |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? | No | 100.51 | $0.961 | $96.84 | +$0.25 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 290 | $0.160 | $42.05 | -$4.49 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | Yes | 284.78 | $0.087 | $22.78 | -$1.93 |
 Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government? | No | 55 | $0.049 | $19.94 | +$17.22 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 333.33 | $0.085 | $18.33 | -$10 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | 49.99 | $0.410 | $17.75 | -$2.75 |
 Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? | Yes | 120 | $0.255 | $15 | -$15.6 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 100 | $0.230 | $14.45 | -$8.5 |
 Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | No | 150 | $0.070 | $9.75 | -$0.75 |
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 251.75 | $0.123 | $5.41 | -$25.49 |
| Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 490.84 | $0.054 | $4.17 | -$22.25 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 200 | $0.013 | $2.1 | -$0.5 |
 Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 300 | $0.010 | $1.05 | -$1.85 |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 53.77 | $0.590 | $1.02 | -$30.7 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 25 | $0.300 | $0.39 | -$7.11 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | No | 100 | $0.270 | $0.35 | -$26.65 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 50 | $0.220 | $0.2 | -$10.8 |
 Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 40.84 | $0.489 | $0.06 | -$19.9 |
 Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 40.84 | $0.500 | $0.06 | -$20.35 |
 Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 40.84 | $0.500 | $0.06 | -$20.36 |
 Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 40.84 | $0.500 | $0.02 | -$20.39 |
 Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 40.84 | $0.500 | $0.02 | -$20.4 |
 Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 40.84 | $0.499 | $0.02 | -$20.35 |
| buy |
| 300 |
| $0.008 |
| $2.4 |
| 18h ago |
 Will David Roberts win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.002 | $0.05 | 2d ago |
 Will Oliver Cooper win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.002 | $0.05 | 2d ago |
 Will Keith Moffitt win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Yes | sell | 17.78 | $0.002 | $0.04 | 2d ago |
 Will Charlie Clinton win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.002 | $0.05 | 2d ago |
| Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.160 | $16 | 2d ago |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Yes | sell | 29.49 | $0.049 | $1.45 | 6d ago |
 Will RNI get the second-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?Yes | sell | 14.33 | $0.330 | $4.73 | 8d ago |
 US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula BadosaDaria Kasatkina | buy | 100 | $0.470 | $47 | 8d ago |
| Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.024 | $3.6 | 8d ago |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 151.75 | $0.025 | $3.79 | 8d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.002 | $0.8 | 8d ago |
 Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsFURIA | buy | 40 | $0.550 | $22 | 18d ago |
 Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International PlayoffsTeam Yandex | buy | 20 | $0.170 | $3.4 | 18d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.320 | $64 | 27d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | sell | 200 | $0.190 | $38 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 28.11 | $0.590 | $16.58 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.260 | $13 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 25.53 | $0.180 | $4.6 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.310 | $62 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?No | sell | 20 | $0.605 | $12.1 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.744 | $297.6 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.728 | $72.8 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.767 | $7.67 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 24.06 | $0.220 | $5.29 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes | sell | 37.09 | $0.180 | $6.68 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.110 | $22 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.003 | $0.6 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 100 | $0.815 | $81.5 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?No | sell | 29.25 | $0.063 | $1.84 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?No | sell | 19.5 | $0.062 | $1.21 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 42.12 | $0.847 | $35.68 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?No | buy | 50 | $0.602 | $30.12 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Yes | buy | 18.59 | $0.150 | $2.79 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | sell | 263.25 | $0.220 | $57.92 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 44.42 | $0.240 | $10.66 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Starmer say "Thank" 5+ times during the next PMQ?Yes | sell | 47.23 | $0.999 | $47.18 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 102.6 | $0.370 | $37.96 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Starmer say "Condolences" during the next PMQ?Yes | sell | 54.75 | $0.021 | $1.15 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Starmer say "Condolences" during the next PMQ?Yes | sell | 27 | $0.040 | $1.08 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Starmer say "Record Funding" during the next PMQ?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.190 | $1.9 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 18.73 | $0.258 | $4.83 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.740 | $3.7 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?No | sell | 50 | $0.620 | $31 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?No | sell | 50 | $0.925 | $46.25 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Starmer say "Record Funding" during the next PMQ?Yes | buy | 61 | $0.160 | $9.77 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 201 | $0.910 | $182.91 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.440 | $2.2 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 127 | $0.580 | $73.66 | Jun 19, 2026 |