Analytics
Yes is at 27%, up 12 points from 15.5% when the market opened on 16 Oct 2026.
Across the 10 daily closes on record from 16 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 28.5% on 19 Oct 2026 and the lowest 15.5% on 16 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 24.5%.
It is one of 2 markets under “US files Ilhan Omar denaturalization case by...?”.
$247.24 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $13.05K since listing. The order book holds $14.95K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 191 trades, $836.77 bought Yes and $3.99K bought No; the largest was a $1.54K buy of No at 75.0¢.
The largest Yes position is propunter3421 with 556 shares; the largest No position is tetrase with 2.2K. Ten wallets hold 90.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Apr 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 1:22 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 16 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 10%–35%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2026 | 15.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 27.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| tetrase | No | 2.19K |
| propunter3421 | Yes | 555.56 |
| timeistmoney | Yes | 403 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the United States files a civil or criminal action against U.S. Representative Ilhan Omar in any United States federal court that seeks to revoke her naturalized citizenship, or whose success — whether by judgment, conviction, or otherwise — would revoke or require the revocation of her naturalized citizenship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The following will not qualify on their own: a civil or criminal action whose success would neither revoke nor require the revocation of her naturalized citizenship; a referral, an investigation, a subpoena, an executed search warrant, a grand jury proceeding, or a public statement of intent to seek denaturalization by any official. Voluntary dismissal, withdrawal, denial, or any other post-filing development will not affect resolution once a qualifying action has been filed. The primary resolution source will be the public docket of the relevant United States court (accessible via PACER) and/or an official announcement from the U.S. Department of Justice; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-files-ilhan-omar-denaturalization-case-byptptpt
| xtxpleasecallme |
| Yes |
| 377.87 |
| cigarettes | Yes | 171 |
| nononononono | Yes | 160 |
| Runny-Greatgrandfather | Yes | 100 |
| Flobodan | Yes | 88.29 |
| SnappyTern | Yes | 86.96 |
| RealRonnieTyler | Yes | 67.36 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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