Analytics
Yes is at 18%, up 5 points from 13% when the market opened on 16 Oct 2026.
Across the 8 daily closes on record from 16 Oct 2026 to 26 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 23% on 23 Oct 2026 and the lowest 10.5% on 19 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 10.5%.
It is one of 2 markets under “US files Ilhan Omar denaturalization case by...?”.
$15.23 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $8.31K since listing. The order book holds $15.28K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 115 trades, $513.2 bought Yes and $3.33K bought No.
The largest Yes position is maritime6307 with 1.6K shares; the largest No position is tetrase with 1.9K. Ten wallets hold 92.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 68 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 26, 2:08 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 16 Oct 2026 – 26 Oct 2026, chart shows 5%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2026 | 13.0% |
| 26 Oct 2026 | 18.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| tetrase | No | 1.89K |
| maritime6307 | Yes | 1.58K |
| timeistmoney | No | 403 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the United States files a civil or criminal action against U.S. Representative Ilhan Omar in any United States federal court that seeks to revoke her naturalized citizenship, or whose success — whether by judgment, conviction, or otherwise — would revoke or require the revocation of her naturalized citizenship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The following will not qualify on their own: a civil or criminal action whose success would neither revoke nor require the revocation of her naturalized citizenship; a referral, an investigation, a subpoena, an executed search warrant, a grand jury proceeding, or a public statement of intent to seek denaturalization by any official. Voluntary dismissal, withdrawal, denial, or any other post-filing development will not affect resolution once a qualifying action has been filed. The primary resolution source will be the public docket of the relevant United States court (accessible via PACER) and/or an official announcement from the U.S. Department of Justice; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-files-ilhan-omar-denaturalization-case-byptptpt
| bananabreakfast |
| Yes |
| 381.18 |
| AJSV | Yes | 338.12 |
| cigarettes | No | 171 |
| lissartter | Yes | 132.67 |
| Flobodan | No | 115.88 |
| Olcan | No | 105.8 |
| Betbet111 | Yes | 99.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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