Analytics
Yes is at 35%, down 22 points from 57% when the market opened on 13 Oct 2026.
Across the 10 daily closes on record from 13 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 57% on 13 Oct 2026 and the lowest 30.5% on 19 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 33.5%. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 43.5% on 14 Oct 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “Rahul Gandhi arrested by...?”.
$26.28 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $4.38K since listing. The order book holds $21.3K, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 116 trades, $574.06 bought Yes and $658.39 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 75 shares; the largest No position is Yackydud3 with 61. Ten wallets hold 94% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 12:56 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 13 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 20%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Oct 2026 | 57.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 35.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 75.13 |
| Yackydud3 | No | 61.13 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 40 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rahul Gandhi is arrested between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest occurs when Rahul Gandhi is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true: (i) he is criminally booked or processed; (ii) he is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, chargesheet, or equivalent criminal charging instrument; (iii) he is held for remand, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or (iv) he is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center. The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in a chargesheet, or being charged without being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds. Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/rahul-gandhi-arrested-byptptpt
| Haradwaith |
| No |
| 38.28 |
| Dr.PNL | No | 37.72 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 25.68 |
| Flobodan | No | 20 |
| boempie | Yes | 18.28 |
| lolzzzlol | No | 17.31 |
| Solar Signal F3B1 | Yes | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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