Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 10.3 | $0.066 | $0.68 | Mar 30, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 10.31 |
| $0.097 |
| $1 |
| Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.08 | $0.975 | $3 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 10, 2026?No | buy | 2.09 | $0.958 | $2 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Huliaipole by November 30?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Russia enter Lyman by November 30?No | buy | 1.53 | $0.654 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Ivanopillya by November 30?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 14?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.963 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by November 30?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 3.07 | $0.977 | $3 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.972 | $2 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.929 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 2.05 | $0.977 | $2 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser by October 31?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.974 | $1 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.990 | $2 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.986 | $2 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Will Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on October 7?No | buy | 55 | $0.018 | $1 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.990 | $2 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Linea FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Another Houthi strike on Israel by September 15?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 US strikes Yemen by September 30?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iran by September 30?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Sumy before October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by September 30?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by September 30?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Dobropillia by September 30?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.967 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?Yes | buy | 1.49 | $0.671 | $1 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Google's Wiz acquisition blocked before July?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 DeepSeek R2 released before July?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Intel x TSMC joint venture announced before July?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 CHIPS Act repealed before July?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 DeepSeek banned in US before July?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 DeepSeek V4 released before July?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will Amazon purchase Bitcoin before July?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before July?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.939 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will TikTok be banned before July?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Trump x Zelenskyy talk before July?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will TikTok be on the App Store on May 1?No | buy | 45.82 | $0.022 | $1 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Will TikTok be banned again before May?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Solana all time high in April?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Will SOL flip ETH before May?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Apr 19, 2025 |