Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 70.5% on 1 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 62 daily closes on record from 1 May 2025 to 1 Jul 2025, the highest close was 97.6% on 13 May 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 37.3% on 17 Jun 2025. $1.04M traded over the market's life.
130 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 62 points, 1 May 2025 – 1 Jul 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 May 2025 | 70.5% |
| 1 Jul 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| podgies | Yes | 32.87K |
| Martin69 | Yes | 8.49K |
| FIREPILLAR | Yes | 6.8K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy Incorporated holds 600,000 or more bitcoins at any point by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will announcements from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor as to their total BTC holdings.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-microstrategy-hold-600k-btc-before-july
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 6.49K |
| alaskaman | Yes | 5.7K |
| Chupapi | Yes | 4.5K |
| Similar-Inside | Yes | 3.51K |
| Nuffsaid | Yes | 3.37K |
| Bobbyfish | Yes | 2.37K |
| r247 | Yes | 1.8K |
