Latest trade
Dec 12, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 5:22 PM UTC.
Analytics
FIREPILLAR is down $6.3K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-08-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Dec 12, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 5:22 PM UTC.
$15.09 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 25 markets; 96.0% were buys. They run from Dec 8, 2025 UTC to Dec 12, 2025 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 9PM ETDown | buy | 57.58 | $0.330 | $19 | Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-08-01 06:15 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 17:22 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 17:22 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-01 06:15 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.59K and losing ones cost $1.35K across the latest 50 settled positions. 58% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $398.15 on “North Korea missile test by June 15?” (No); the largest loss, $626.46 on “Major cyberattack on Iran in June?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 12 Dec 2025. It has traded 75 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 90.48 |
| $0.210 |
| $19 |
| Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 9PM ETDown | buy | 39.66 | $0.480 | $19.04 | Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 9PM ETUp | buy | 2 | $0.490 | $0.98 | Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 9PM ETUp | buy | 25 | $0.490 | $12.25 | Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 9PM ETUp | buy | 11 | $0.490 | $5.39 | Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETDown | buy | 78.4 | $0.480 | $37.63 | Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ETUp | buy | 36 | $0.480 | $17.28 | Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ETDown | buy | 36 | $0.480 | $17.28 | Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETUp | buy | 73.8 | $0.480 | $35.42 | Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETDown | buy | 53.8 | $0.480 | $25.82 | Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETDown | buy | 20 | $0.480 | $9.6 | Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETUp | buy | 71 | $0.480 | $34.08 | Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETDown | buy | 70.9 | $0.480 | $34.03 | Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETUp | sell | 75.8 | $0.388 | $29.37 | Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETUp | buy | 75.8 | $0.450 | $34.11 | Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETUp | buy | 35 | $0.480 | $16.8 | Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETDown | buy | 25 | $0.480 | $12 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.480 | $4.8 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 9AM ETDown | buy | 51.26 | $0.390 | $19.99 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETDown | buy | 79.1 | $0.390 | $30.85 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETUp | buy | 30.85 | $0.648 | $19.99 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETUp | buy | 299.67 | $0.214 | $64.24 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETUp | buy | 28.24 | $0.450 | $12.71 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETUp | buy | 36 | $0.370 | $13.32 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETUp | buy | 26.03 | $0.768 | $19.98 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETUp | buy | 83.27 | $0.490 | $40.8 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETDown | buy | 40.8 | $0.490 | $19.99 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETDown | buy | 6.47 | $0.490 | $3.17 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | sell | 63.44 | $0.050 | $3.17 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 63.44 | $0.430 | $27.28 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will Osasuna win on 2025-12-08?Yes | buy | 27.28 | $0.570 | $15.55 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETUp | buy | 31.75 | $0.490 | $15.56 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETUp | buy | 31.11 | $0.490 | $15.24 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETDown | buy | 31.11 | $0.490 | $15.24 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETDown | buy | 6.7 | $0.490 | $3.28 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETDown | buy | 23.78 | $0.490 | $11.65 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETUp | buy | 31.12 | $0.480 | $14.94 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETDown | buy | 29.88 | $0.490 | $14.64 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETUp | buy | 17.24 | $0.490 | $8.45 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETUp | buy | 12.64 | $0.490 | $6.19 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ETDown | buy | 29.28 | $0.490 | $14.35 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ETUp | buy | 29.29 | $0.490 | $14.35 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETDown | buy | 28.71 | $0.490 | $14.07 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETUp | buy | 28.7 | $0.490 | $14.06 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETDown | buy | 28.13 | $0.490 | $13.78 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETUp | buy | 28.13 | $0.490 | $13.78 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETDown | buy | 27.58 | $0.490 | $13.51 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.