Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 43.5% on 4 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 90 daily closes on record from 4 Apr 2025 to 2 Jul 2025, the highest close was 68.5% on 5 Apr 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 2 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 30 points up, to 33% on 25 May 2025. $71.79K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 90 points, 4 Apr 2025 – 2 Jul 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Apr 2025 | 43.5% |
| 2 Jul 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 488 |
| jared-the-precise | Yes | 144.93 |
| CineMa | Yes | 115.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Intel Corporation and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) have officially agreed to form a joint venture, a merger or that one of the two companies is acquiring the other by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by either Intel or TSMC will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the joint venture is ultimately established. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Intel or TSMC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/intel-x-tsmc-joint-venture-announced-before-july
| Yes |
| 104.42 |
| borikori | Yes | 28.99 |
| Fuzzy-Strap | Yes | 21.33 |
| ffiru | Yes | 2.82 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 1.83 |
| DrunkBishop | Yes | 1.56 |
| Feraw | Yes | 1.45 |
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