Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Peter Dutton lose his seat?No | buy | 300.8 | $0.573 | $172.24 | Apr 27, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 33.57 |
| $0.130 |
| $4.36 |
| Apr 18, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 130 | $0.820 | $106.6 | Apr 9, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?Yes | sell | 87 | $0.700 | $60.9 | Apr 9, 2025 |
 Deel CEO out in April?Yes | buy | 38.7 | $0.750 | $29.03 | Apr 4, 2025 |
 Intel x TSMC joint venture announced before July?Yes | buy | 62.44 | $0.633 | $39.54 | Apr 4, 2025 |
 Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.96 | $0.130 | $0.25 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.900 | $18.9 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Trump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.380 | $45.6 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?Yes | buy | 66 | $0.750 | $49.5 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | sell | 135 | $0.950 | $128.25 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce tariffs on Japan on April 2?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.950 | $19 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Trump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.250 | $50 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce tariffs on Vietnam on April 2?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.980 | $14.7 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 350k+ Tesla deliveries in Q1 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.500 | $50 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Will Black Sea ceasefire go into effect before May?Yes | buy | 13.57 | $0.350 | $4.75 | Apr 1, 2025 |
| Will Black Sea ceasefire go into effect before May?Yes | buy | 39.16 | $0.290 | $11.36 | Apr 1, 2025 |
| Will Black Sea ceasefire go into effect before May?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.260 | $5.2 | Apr 1, 2025 |
 US lifts Russia sanctions before April?No | buy | 6.47 | $0.969 | $6.27 | Mar 28, 2025 |
 Will Elon say "USAID" during Baier interview on Thursday?Yes | buy | 31.05 | $0.770 | $23.91 | Mar 27, 2025 |
| Will Elon say "Big Balls" during Baier interview on Thursday?Yes | buy | 357.88 | $0.112 | $40 | Mar 27, 2025 |
| Will Elon say "Tesla" during Baier interview on Thursday?Yes | buy | 96.49 | $0.570 | $55 | Mar 27, 2025 |
 Will Vance visit Greenland before July?Yes | sell | 126.47 | $0.940 | $118.91 | Mar 27, 2025 |
| Will Vance visit Greenland before July?Yes | buy | 96.47 | $0.831 | $80.17 | Mar 27, 2025 |
| Will Vance visit Greenland before July?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.821 | $24.63 | Mar 27, 2025 |
| Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?Yes | sell | 398 | $0.170 | $67.66 | Mar 27, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?No | sell | 50 | $0.710 | $35.5 | Mar 27, 2025 |
| Will Elon say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Baier interview on Thursday?Yes | buy | 137.1 | $0.420 | $57.58 | Mar 26, 2025 |
| Will Elon say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Baier interview on Thursday?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.480 | $9.6 | Mar 26, 2025 |
 Will Labour win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 130.6 | $0.470 | $61.38 | Mar 24, 2025 |
| Will Labour win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.470 | $94 | Mar 24, 2025 |
| Will Labour win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.450 | $4.95 | Mar 23, 2025 |
| Will Labour win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 12.8 | $0.460 | $5.89 | Mar 22, 2025 |
| Will Labour win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 621.41 | $0.482 | $299.3 | Mar 22, 2025 |
| Will Labour win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 309.49 | $0.450 | $139.27 | Mar 22, 2025 |
| Will Labour win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 936.72 | $0.440 | $412.16 | Mar 22, 2025 |
 Canada election called by Sunday?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.920 | $4.6 | Mar 20, 2025 |
 Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?Yes | buy | 147.06 | $0.340 | $50 | Mar 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Reserve" during Digital Asset Summit?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.790 | $79 | Mar 20, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 135 | $0.820 | $110.7 | Mar 20, 2025 |