Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?Yes | sell | 166.66 | $0.167 | $27.84 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 1.51 |
| $0.900 |
| $1.36 |
| Jul 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?Yes | sell | 1.21 | $0.969 | $1.17 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?No | sell | 7.69 | $0.850 | $6.54 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 9.1 | $0.890 | $8.1 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Will Iran declare war on Israel by Friday?No | buy | 4.29 | $0.700 | $3 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025?Yes | sell | 14.7 | $0.460 | $6.76 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Will Zelensky wear suit next Trump meeting?Yes | sell | 4.16 | $0.350 | $1.46 | Apr 22, 2025 |
 Will Poilievre say "Tariffs" 3+ times during Canadian Election Debate on April 17?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2 | Apr 15, 2025 |
| Will Poilievre say "Trump" 3+ times during Canadian Election Debate on April 17?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | Apr 15, 2025 |
 Will Erdogan repeal presidential term limits?Yes | sell | 21.18 | $0.067 | $1.42 | Apr 12, 2025 |
 Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.380 | $2 | Apr 9, 2025 |
 Will Trump reduce majority of tariffs before July?Yes | sell | 5.55 | $0.920 | $5.11 | Apr 9, 2025 |
| Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Apr 9, 2025 |
| Will Trump reduce majority of tariffs before July?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.540 | $3 | Apr 9, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | Apr 9, 2025 |
 East African countries agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before July?Yes | sell | 92.69 | $0.064 | $5.95 | Apr 9, 2025 |
 Will Trump claim he crashed the market on purpose?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.080 | $1.14 | Apr 9, 2025 |
 Will Trump lower tariffs on EU in April?Yes | sell | 4.16 | $0.320 | $1.33 | Apr 8, 2025 |
 Intel x TSMC joint venture announced before July?Yes | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | Apr 7, 2025 |
 Will China counter tariff the U.S. in April?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Apr 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump claim he crashed the market on purpose?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Apr 7, 2025 |
| Intel x TSMC joint venture announced before July?Yes | buy | 14.08 | $0.710 | $10 | Apr 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump lower tariffs on EU in April?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Apr 3, 2025 |
 Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad SchimelCrawford | buy | 18.39 | $0.870 | $16 | Mar 31, 2025 |
 Israel retaliates against Houthis in March?Yes | sell | 218.03 | $0.009 | $1.94 | Mar 31, 2025 |
 Will Trump's approval rating be between 47.0% and 47.4% on March 28?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.690 | $3 | Mar 28, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 21-28?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | Mar 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump release FBI Russia investigation files by next Friday?Yes | buy | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | Mar 28, 2025 |
 Record low border encounters in March?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.700 | $2 | Mar 28, 2025 |
 Nord Stream pipeline turned on in 2025?Yes | buy | 18.75 | $0.160 | $3 | Mar 27, 2025 |
 Will Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Mar 27, 2025 |
 Will Karoline Leavitt say "common sense" during next White House press briefing?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Mar 26, 2025 |
| Will Leavitt say "egregious" during next White House press briefing?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Mar 26, 2025 |
| Will Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?Yes | buy | 3.4 | $0.294 | $1 | Mar 26, 2025 |
 U.S. Government funding lapse on October 1?No | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | Mar 26, 2025 |
 Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?No | sell | 30.3 | $0.940 | $28.48 | Mar 26, 2025 |
 Will Elon say "DOGE" 7+ times during Baier interview on Thursday?Yes | buy | 5.17 | $0.580 | $3 | Mar 25, 2025 |
| Will Elon say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Baier interview on Thursday?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2 | Mar 25, 2025 |
| Will Elon say "Tesla" during Baier interview on Thursday?Yes | buy | 5.08 | $0.590 | $3 | Mar 25, 2025 |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Mar 25, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran in March?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.014 | $0.69 | Mar 25, 2025 |
 Will the Titans make the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Mar 24, 2025 |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?No | buy | 30.3 | $0.660 | $20 | Mar 23, 2025 |
 Will Coinbase acquire Deribit for $5b or more?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2 | Mar 22, 2025 |
| Will Erdogan repeal presidential term limits?Yes | buy | 19.15 | $0.104 | $2 | Mar 22, 2025 |
| Will Erdogan repeal presidential term limits?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Mar 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to sell F-35 to Turkey before May?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Mar 21, 2025 |
 Joe Biden book deal in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Mar 21, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Mar 21, 2025 |