Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 57 | $0.390 | $22.23 | May 26, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 88 |
| $0.380 |
| $33.44 |
| May 26, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.390 | $8.97 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 41 | $0.982 | $40.26 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 41 | $0.982 | $40.26 | May 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.410 | $32.8 | May 21, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 41 | $0.973 | $39.89 | May 20, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.061 | $4.58 | May 20, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 49 | $0.740 | $36.26 | May 20, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 49 | $0.750 | $36.75 | May 20, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 66 | $0.550 | $36.3 | May 19, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 66 | $0.550 | $36.3 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.040 | $1.28 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | sell | 3 | $0.977 | $2.93 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | sell | 13 | $0.977 | $12.7 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Will Flamengo win the FIFA Club World Cup?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.942 | $1.2 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.958 | $1.3 | May 24, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $93000 and $95000 on May 9?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.983 | $1.32 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will the Giants draft Travis Hunter?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.087 | $0.52 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?No | buy | 7 | $0.975 | $6.83 | Apr 22, 2025 |
 Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | buy | 7 | $0.963 | $6.74 | Apr 21, 2025 |
| Will the Giants draft Travis Hunter?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.042 | $0.8 | Apr 21, 2025 |
 Will the New Democratic Party win the third most seats in the next Canadian Election?No | sell | 9 | $0.904 | $8.14 | Apr 20, 2025 |
| Will the New Democratic Party win the third most seats in the next Canadian Election?No | buy | 9 | $0.904 | $8.14 | Apr 20, 2025 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 9 | $0.982 | $8.84 | Apr 18, 2025 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 9 | $0.982 | $8.84 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.066 | $1.72 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 Will Meta buy TikTok?Yes | sell | 115 | $0.024 | $2.76 | Apr 14, 2025 |
| Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 68 | $0.096 | $6.53 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in his first 100 days?Yes | sell | 29 | $0.013 | $0.38 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Will the Liberal party lead by more than 10% on April 18?No | sell | 23 | $0.975 | $22.43 | Apr 14, 2025 |
| Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 85 | $0.048 | $4.08 | Apr 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in his first 100 days?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.013 | $0.85 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Will Scott Bessent be out as Secretary of the Treasury in Trump's first 100 days?No | buy | 29 | $0.973 | $28.22 | Apr 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon CZ in his first 100 days?No | buy | 29 | $0.979 | $28.39 | Apr 13, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40k in April?No | sell | 29 | $0.992 | $28.77 | Apr 12, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40k in April?No | buy | 29 | $0.990 | $28.71 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 29 | $0.976 | $28.3 | Apr 11, 2025 |
| Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 29 | $0.976 | $28.3 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | buy | 29 | $0.983 | $28.51 | Apr 4, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | sell | 30 | $0.950 | $28.5 | Apr 4, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.947 | $28.41 | Apr 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Young Thug in his first 100 days?No | sell | 29 | $0.988 | $28.65 | Apr 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Young Thug in his first 100 days?No | buy | 29 | $0.986 | $28.59 | Apr 1, 2025 |
 Will the number of federal employees decrease by 25,000-50,000 between December and June?No | sell | 30 | $0.942 | $28.26 | Mar 31, 2025 |
 Will Elon go on Daily Show before April?No | sell | 26 | $0.996 | $25.9 | Mar 31, 2025 |
 Istanbul mayor İmamoğlu released from custody in March?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.006 | $0.09 | Mar 30, 2025 |
| Will Elon go on Daily Show before April?No | buy | 26 | $0.992 | $25.79 | Mar 29, 2025 |
| Istanbul mayor İmamoğlu released from custody in March?Yes | buy | 57 | $0.009 | $0.51 | Mar 29, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 300-324 times March 21-28?No | sell | 27 | $0.997 | $26.92 | Mar 23, 2025 |