Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 1.4% on 3 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 370 daily closes on record from 3 Jan 2025 to 6 Jan 2026, the highest close was 8.8% on 6 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Dec 2025. $13.7M traded over the market's life.
345 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 7, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 370 points, 3 Jan 2025 – 6 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jan 2025 | 1.4% |
| 6 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.42M |
| flow-trader-at-optiver | Yes | 137.65K |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 131.27K |
This is a market on which movie will have the highest box office earnings in the year 2025.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/highest-grossing-movie-in-2025
| Anjun | Yes | 64.48K |
| Plastic-Enterprise | Yes | 55.4K |
| safsfz11 | Yes | 55K |
| Siziriv | Yes | 29.92K |
| Novus0rdoSeclorum | Yes | 28.4K |
| daweidai | Yes | 25K |
| costcostaff01 | Yes | 20.11K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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