Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 41.5% on 27 Feb 2025. Before it settled, the high was 41.5% on 27 Feb 2025 and the low 0.4% on 1 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 30% on 28 Feb 2025. $331.54K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 7:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 34 points · 27 Feb 2025 – 1 Apr 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Feb 2025 | 41.5% |
| 1 Apr 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| FreeUpCapital | Yes | 20K |
| polymark | Yes | 59.26 |
| Nuked17 | Yes | 53.51 |
| polyswiss | No | 0.07 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
On February 26, in an exchange with The Daily Show's X account, Elon Musk said he would appear on The Daily Show if the appearance would air unedited. You can see the exchange here: https://x.com/thedailyshow/status/1894844159812366809 This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk makes gives an interview on The Daily Show by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Virtual appearances will qualify. If a consensus of credible reporting confirms Elon Musk recorded an interview with The Daily Show before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when/if it is released. The primary resolution source for this market will be The Daily Show and Comedy Central, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-elon-go-on-daily-show-before-april
| Keen Oracle 9772 | No | 0.03 |
| ArbiTrader.Zim | Yes | 0.02 |
| DrOetker | No | 0.01 |
| ujaKanga | Yes | 0.01 |
| split | No | 0.01 |
| bistrogons | No | 0.01 |
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