Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 GTA 6 launch postponed again? | No | 538.44 | $0.719 | $503.45 | +$116.35 |
 Will GTA 6 cost $100+? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Another GTA VI trailer released by July 31?Yes | sell | 94.11 | $0.398 | $37.42 | Jul 11, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 147.52 |
| $0.926 |
| $144.27 |
| +$7.64 |
 Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026? | No | 51.12 | $0.870 | $47.65 | +$3.15 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 50.7 | $0.710 | $40.31 | +$4.31 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 33.55 | $0.829 | $30.03 | +$2.23 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 34.44 | $0.720 | $29.45 | +$4.65 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? | No | 31.11 | $0.450 | $24.11 | +$10.11 |
 Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? | Yes | 129.99 | $0.268 | $22.1 | -$12.8 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 23.12 | $0.865 | $20.96 | +$0.96 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 20 | $0.750 | $19.08 | +$4.08 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 38.67 | $0.569 | $18.75 | -$3.25 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 19.48 | $0.770 | $18.21 | +$3.21 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 20 | $0.805 | $17.5 | +$1.4 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 20.83 | $0.888 | $16.93 | -$1.57 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 25.37 | $0.690 | $16.36 | -$1.14 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 15.38 | $0.650 | $10.38 | +$0.38 |
 Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? | No | 6.32 | $0.870 | $6.11 | +$0.61 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 7.23 | $0.747 | $5.82 | +$0.42 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | Yes | 15.38 | $0.260 | $5.08 | +$1.08 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 5.11 | $0.880 | $4.96 | +$0.46 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.06 | $0.790 | $4.63 | +$0.63 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 4.71 | $0.850 | $4.52 | +$0.52 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 4.47 | $0.760 | $4.23 | +$0.83 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 7.27 | $0.550 | $3.65 | -$0.35 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 7.11 | $0.610 | $3.59 | -$0.75 |
| sell |
| 140 |
| $0.972 |
| $136.08 |
| Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+?No | sell | 287.5 | $0.973 | $279.71 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by July 31?Yes | buy | 61.76 | $0.680 | $42 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by July 31?Yes | buy | 32.35 | $0.680 | $22 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | sell | 25.36 | $0.590 | $14.96 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.580 | $10 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | buy | 19.48 | $0.770 | $15 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes | sell | 3.94 | $0.350 | $1.38 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | buy | 15.38 | $0.650 | $10 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.600 | $2.5 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 2.73 | $0.550 | $1.5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 23.12 | $0.865 | $20 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+?No | buy | 306.12 | $0.980 | $300 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?Yes | sell | 53.29 | $0.428 | $22.79 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.842 | $5.2 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 23.44 | $0.064 | $1.5 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?No | buy | 28.13 | $0.853 | $24 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | buy | 21.13 | $0.710 | $15 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | buy | 29.58 | $0.710 | $21 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+?No | buy | 130.43 | $0.920 | $120 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?Yes | sell | 17.76 | $0.610 | $10.83 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?Yes | buy | 10.48 | $0.630 | $6.6 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.630 | $6 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | sell | 50.72 | $0.600 | $30.43 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?Yes | buy | 34.92 | $0.630 | $22 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by June 26?No | sell | 10.52 | $0.350 | $3.68 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by June 26?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.380 | $4 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?Yes | sell | 10.25 | $0.610 | $6.25 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.32 | $0.870 | $5.5 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 10.17 | $0.177 | $1.8 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 21.43 | $0.560 | $12 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.260 | $4 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?Yes | buy | 10.26 | $0.390 | $4 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by June 15?No | sell | 21 | $0.918 | $19.28 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by June 15?No | sell | 103.65 | $0.922 | $95.53 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?Yes | buy | 14.58 | $0.240 | $3.5 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+?No | buy | 60.44 | $0.910 | $55 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.690 | $23 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 17.39 | $0.690 | $12 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 50.72 | $0.690 | $35 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | sell | 25.28 | $0.751 | $18.99 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?No | buy | 31.11 | $0.450 | $14 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+?No | buy | 24.18 | $0.910 | $22 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+?No | buy | 19.78 | $0.910 | $18 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+?No | buy | 34.07 | $0.910 | $31 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 9.22 | $0.900 | $8.3 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 13.79 | $0.290 | $4 | Jun 3, 2026 |